Top IT rumours that may or may not come true

The tech world loves rumors and spreads them incessantly, thanks to a seemingly endless outpouring of Internet blather about impending tech gadgets and gear.

Each time a new rumor sweeps through the blogosphere, we find ourselves saying “Really hope that happens” on some occasions and “That’ll never fly” on others.

For this story, we’ve assembled a dozen of the hottest rumors in techdom today and separated the real from the surreal, IOHO. See whether you agree.

1. An Amazon-Branded Tablet to Ship in 2011

For months now, members of a mysterious cabal of unnamed sources have whispered that online retailing colossus Amazon will soon unveil an iPad-style slate. Though Amazon has been coy about its tablet intentions, company CEO Jeff Bezos has implied that the reports may be true, telling Consumer Reports to “stay tuned.” Hey, if the rumors were false, wouldn’t he just quash them? With its Kindle e-reader a proven success, we think that Amazon should (and will) make a play in the burgeoning tablet market.

2. A Chrome OS Tablet Is Coming

Let’s keep it simple: Android is for tablets; Chrome OS is for laptops. Most people who’ve used a Chromebook, one of the new cloud-centric netbooks that run Google Chrome OS, recognize that the fledgling UI is best suited for a keyboard and a touchpad, not a touchscreen. And yet persistent reports suggest that Google is developing a modified version of Chrome OS for tablets, too. Prediction: Google will come to its senses and draw a Mason-Dixon Line between Chrome OS and Android, especially since Android is evolving into a very nice tablet OS, despite its initial shortcomings. A Chrome OS tablet would only confuse consumers and muddle Google’s Android tablet strategy.

3. The Droid Bionic Smartphone Arrives in Early August

The mysterious Motorola Droid Bionic phone made a very public debut at CES 2011 in January, and then pulled a Greta Garbo and went into seclusion. Recent reports, including one showing the Bionic in an alleged Best Buy ad, claim that the phone will finally launch on August 4. The Bionic runs Android and has a 4.3-inch qHD display and a dual-core processor. So why did it disappear after CES? Perhaps the Bionic went back to the lab to become better…stronger…faster.

4. Apple iPad 3 to Go 3D

There’s no end to iPad gossip, and most of the speculation right now centers on the alleged autumn arrival of either the iPad 3 or the iPad 2 Plus–whichever sounds better–with a vastly improved display. But one oddball rumor claims that the third-generation iPad will sport a 3D display, and that major Hollywood studios are working feverishly to create 3D content for the tablet. This seems unlikely, as today’s 3D phones and tablets are gimmicky at best; Apple is more likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach toward 3D technology.

5. PlayStation 4 to Have Kinect-Like Motion Tracking

Sony plans to launch the PlayStation 4 next year, according to Digitimes, and the new gaming console will feature motion-sensing controls similar to those of Microsoft’s Kinect. The PlayStation 3 has been with us only five years, which is a short life span for a home console, but it’s looking more and more dated every day. The PS3’s Move motion technology is akin to the now ho-hum Nintendo Wiimote, and the PlayStation platform needs a gee-whiz infusion–the sooner, the better.

6. Google+ Will Beat Facebook

Google’s slick new social network has a lot going for it, notably the Circles feature designed to simplify the task of subdividing friends, family, and acquaintances into distinct groups. But nothing is stopping Facebook from implementing many of Google+’s clever innovations, and it’ll take more than a few cool tricks to persuade millions of Facebook loyalists to jump ship.

Next: Windows 8, the Nintendo Wii U, more Microsoft Kinect, and more rumors.

7. Windows 8 Will Arrive Early

When will Windows 8 ship? A new rumor says the date could be as early as next April, months ahead of schedule. Windows 8 is designed to run on tablets and PCs, and as Technologizer’s Harry McCracken points out, Microsoft has good reason to push the new OS out the door: Redmond is currently a nonentity in the tablet business, and it wants to change that situation ASAP.

8. Kinect Has a Future in the Sex Biz

Purveyors of porn are often early adopters of new technology, and Microsoft’s motion-sensing Kinect device may be the next big thing in a-partner-would-be-nice-but-this-will-have-to-do ersatz encounters. Microsoft has washed its hands of Kinect sex games, but that hasn’t stopped game developer Thrixxx (yeah, Triple X) from releasing a demo video showing how a Kinect sex game might work. We won’t link to the clip, but we suspect that Kinect’s hands-off approach to simulated whoopee may leave more than a few players unfulfilled.

9. Apple iPad 3 Arrives This Fall

Rumors that a next-generation iPad will arrive in the fall just won’t die. Whether you call it the iPad 3 or iPad 2 Plus, the alleged higher-resolution slate will reportedly coexist with the iPad 2, but target a business or otherwise upscale clientele, gossipers say. Well, we say that the next iPad won’t arrive until 2012. Apple owns the tablet business for the time being, and it doesn’t need to rush a new model to market.

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Jim Love, Chief Content Officer, IT World Canada

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